The House of Representatives is expected to vote Friday on trade promotion authority, commonly known as “fast-track trade.”
If passed, the bill would change the process for Congress to authorize trade policy: After the president negotiated international agreements, Congress would only be able to vote yes or no, rather than having the ability to amend or filibuster a proposed deal.
The Obama administration has been pushing trade promotion authority in order to sign the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, but the fight hasn’t been easy. Here are a few things to know about the upcoming vote:
Is trade promotion authority a new conversation?
No. It was originally established in 1974 and was renewed several times, until disagreement between the Clinton administration and Republican leadership led to its end in 1994. George W. Bush included it in part of his pro-free trade platform in 2000, and it was re-enacted in 2002. After it expired in 2007, however, it was not renewed. The Obama administration has been actively pushing to pass new trade promotion authority legislation since 2012. The topic has been controversial, but the Senate passed the trade bill last month by a vote of 62-37 – with weeks of testy debate and more than 200 amendments suggested to the bill.
Who’s for it?
Who’s against it?
What does it mean for Obama to be against his own party?
Simply put, it’s awkward. Obama and Republicans have made for a set of strange bedfellows here, trying to collect a simple majority so the bill can pass. Republican House leadership has called on the president to deliver Democratic votes, but it’s not yet clear if his administration can convince enough Democratic representatives to ensure the bill will pass. The White House has claimed that the partisan divide in this situation is not a sign of weakness from Obama, saying that it proves that he will work with lawmakers on either side of the aisle to achieve his goals – but Democrats would beg to differ. Several liberal lawmakers, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, have been open in their criticism of Obama.
What exactly is the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and how does it play into this?
The partnership has been going through formal negotiations since 2010. If signed, it would create new rules of trade for 40 percent of the global economy, representing the largest trade deal in history. The 12 countries involved are the United States, Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam. As is often the case with free trade discussions, some (mainly Republicans) see this as a chance to expand American business; others (mainly Democrats) see it as a threat to American jobs and standards.
The Obama administration considers trade promotion authority essential to negotiating the partnership, so if TPA doesn’t pass this week, it could be back to the drawing board on negotiations for the Trans-Pacific Partnership. But even if trade promotion authority does pass, Congress still would need to vote on the TPP itself before Obama could sign it. Essentially, nothing can be guaranteed just yet.