'Absolute shock if she won,' says analyst of Landrieu’s chances

Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., Nov. 18, 2014
Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., Nov. 18, 2014 AP

Sen. Mary Landrieu’s prospects for winning another term Saturday look bleak.

“It would be an absolute shock if she won,” wrote Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan political analysis group, on Thursday.

It moved the Louisiana race into the “Safe Republican” category. Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy is challenging Landrieu, a Democrat.

Landrieu won 42 percent of the vote in the Nov. 4 election, but because no one got a majority, she and Cassidy, the top two finishers, compete Saturday in a runoff. Polls have consistently shown Cassidy with a double digit lead. Cassidy and Rob Maness, a conservative, totaled about 55 percent of the vote Nov. 4.

“The outside Democratic groups have stayed out, and the early voting numbers from Louisiana suggest that the electorate for the runoff will be smaller and more Republican than the one that showed up on Election Day,” Kondik said.

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