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World

Now the debate begins: Is UN's Syria cease-fire working or not?

David Enders - McClatchy Newspapers

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April 12, 2012 05:06 PM

BEIRUT — Syrian government forces appeared Thursday largely to have ended their attacks on anti-government strongholds, adhering to a United Nations-brokered cease-fire.

But the United States, France and others seeking the ouster of Syrian President Bashar Assad said the government has yet to implement a provision in the U.N. plan that called for the country's military to return to its barracks, and the U.S. repeated calls for Assad to step down.

Anti-Assad activists reported at least three deaths at the hands of Syrian security forces on Thursday, along with a number of arrests.

The official Syrian government news service, SANA, reported at least two government sympathizers killed — a police officer who died when the bus he was in was bombed near the city of Aleppo, wounding 24 others, and a Baath party official in southern Daraa province who was shot eight times when he left his home to buy bread. SANA said 14 members of the security services, killed in previous violence, were buried.

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President Barack Obama and French President Nicolas Sarkovy held a video conference, after which the White House said the two leaders had "condemned the violence perpetrated by the (Assad) regime against its own people and noted that the regime had yet to fully implement the agreement."

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton welcomed the "apparent halt in violence," but she said it was not enough. "If it holds, a cease-fire is an important step, but it represents just one element of the special envoy's plan," she said. "Assad will have to go and the Syrian people must be given the chance to chart their own future."

U.N. Syria envoy Kofi Annan, the author of the cease-fire plan, made no public statement. In a private briefing to the Security Council, he reportedly called for approval of envoys to monitor the cease-fire's progress. U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, in Geneva, said that without monitors "it was difficult to assess the situation on the ground."

"Even a small gunshot may give both sides the pretext to engage in another fighting," Ban said, according to the Associated Press.

What happens next is difficult to predict. The Syrian government warned Wednesday that it would respond with force to any attack by members of the Free Syrian Army, the name taken by the loosely organized and lightly armed army defectors and volunteers who took up arms against Assad's government, and activists said they hoped for widespread demonstrations on Friday after weekly prayer services.

The Annan plan also calls for the Assad government and its opposition to begin talks based on finding a peaceful solution to the country's impasse, but it was unclear what the mechanism for such talks would be or who would take part. The Syrian National Council, led largely by longtime Syrian exiles, remains divided over how to proceed.

The Syrian government also has promised to allow foreign journalists to enter the country, allow humanitarian aid to be delivered in conflicted areas, and permit anti-government demonstrations.

"The Annan plan is not a menu of options. It is a set of obligations," Clinton said. "The burden of fully and visibly meeting all of these obligations continues to rest with the regime. They cannot pick and choose."

The cities of Homs and Hama in central Syria remained the most volatile as the cease-fire went into effect at 6 a.m., with anti-government activists reporting a few instances of shelling and some light arms fire. Activists said Syrian soldiers executed a man at a checkpoint in a village outside Hama, and that two other people died when the Syrian military fired at a demonstration in the northern city of Idlib. Some activist groups reported as many as 18 total deaths across the country.

That still would mark a major decline in violence from Wednesday, when 47 Syrians were killed, according to the London-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Seven of those were defecting soldiers and two were children, the group said.

Syrian security forces on Wednesday executed a man in a hospital in Jisr al Shagour, a rebel stronghold near Idlib, the group said. Another person died Wednesday when a government helicopter opened fire near Aleppo, the country's largest city.

Activists used the pause in fighting to photograph the damage left by more than two months of near-constant shelling in different neighborhoods in Homs.

Most telling to activists, however, was the Syrian government's failure to pull troops out of urban areas in accordance with Annan's plan.

Activists in Hama said new military reinforcements had arrived in the city in recent days and that the number of military checkpoints had grown.

"There are still military forces in the city and the countryside and there are snipers on the roofs of some buildings, including schools, in some neighborhoods as well," said Samir Husain, an activist in Hama.

In Mudiq, a town northwest of Hama, anti-government activists posted video of Syrian troops and tanks that remained in the city center, where they displaced about 3,000 people last week. They said demonstrators who tried to gather in the city on Thursday afternoon were fired on and arrested.

Syrian activists say nearly 11,000 civilians and members of the Syrian military and security forces have been killed March 2011. The government has said the rebels have killed more than 3,000 soldiers, police and civilians. It's unclear whether those deaths are in addition to those the anti-government activists reported or whether there's overlap.

Tens of thousands of Syrians have fled to Lebanon, Turkey, Iraq and Jordan, and the U.N. estimated last month that about 250,000 Syrians had been displaced inside the country.

(Enders is a McClatchy special correspondent.)

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