Polls released Sunday show it’s increasingly likely that control of the Senate may not be decided Tuesday, as no one in Louisiana and Georgia races has the majority needed to avoid a runoff election.
New Marist-NBC polls in those states show the leaders still in the 40s. In Louisiana, Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., has 44 percent to Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy’s 36 percent and conservative Rob Maness’ 15 percent. If no one gets a majority, the top two finishers would vie in a December 6 runoff. Cassidy tops Landrieu by 5 in a head to head matchup, while Maness would be up by 4.
“Landrieu is well positioned to lead the field this Tuesday,” said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “But, she would face an uphill fight to keep her seat.”
Georgia faces a similar scenario. Republican David Perdue got 48 percent in the Marist poll, while Democrat Michelle Nunn had 44 percent. Perdue, the poll found, is up slightly among independents and men, and is “competitive” among women.
If no one gets a majority, the top two would compete in a January runoff. In a two way contest, Perdue has 49 percent to Nunn’s 46 percent.
Marist also polled in Kentucky, and found Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell ahead of Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes by 9.
Republicans need a net gain of six to win a majority.