• Posted on Friday, September 26, 2008
  • Bookmark and Share
  • email
  • |
  • print
  • |
  • rss

tool name

close
tool goes here

Economists say House GOP plan would be ineffective, costly

Sign up for email newsletters now!

Sign up for email newsletters now!

Never miss a McClatchy story

More on this Story

Comments (0)

WASHINGTON — House Republicans are rallying behind an alternative to the Bush administration's taxpayer rescue of Wall Street. That plan that may be good politics, but experts say it is bad economics.

The lawmakers, led by Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., and Rep. Joe Barton, R-Texas, are calling for a temporary elimination of the capital gains tax, a two-year tax holiday that allows U.S. companies to repatriate earnings from abroad, and an insurance program that would be a private-sector alternative to the $700 billion taxpayer rescue proposed by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.

The problem with the House GOP plan — which as of late Friday boiled down to a page or two of talking points — is that it doesn't get at what is ailing the U.S. economy right now. That's a lack of confidence that's causing credit markets to seize up and raising the cost of doing business for corporate America, thus threatening jobs.

Paulson has proposed having the government buy bad assets on pennies on the dollar, getting them off balance sheets and restoring health to banks and other financial companies sitting on mortgage bonds that no one wants to buy.

At a Friday afternoon news conference, Barton said he and fellow Republicans want a market-based solution and proposed an insurance-like program instead of the government buying the bad assets.

But he couldn't specify just what was being insured, the actual bond that no one wants to buy, or the underlying collateral, which are mortgages, some of them distressed. Details, he said, would come later. Ryan's office didn't share details of his insurance plan when asked.

The root of the credit-market problem is that mortgage bonds have been rendered illiquid, meaning no one wants them, insured or not.

"We feel that the Paulson compromise is the best plan to restore confidence, credit availability and market stability in a timely manner," said Travis Larson, spokesman for the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. "None of the other alternatives put forward thus far achieve those fundamental objectives."

On the tax proposals, temporarily waiving the 15 percent capital gains tax "would cost hundreds of billions of dollars," said Len Burman, director of the Tax Policy Center at the centrist Urban Institute, a think tank.

Barton and colleagues have not yet offered exactly how they would offset the lost revenues. They said they seek to avoid a taxpayer bailout, but cutting taxes means foreswearing tax revenue, so taxpayer money is in the mix either way.

Traditionally, the buyers of the now-toxic mortgage bonds are pension funds and other institutional investors that handle the retirement funds of ordinary Americans and aren't subject to the capital gains tax, said Burman, adding that 70 percent of the benefits of the tax holiday would flow to Americans earning over $1 million.

"This tax holiday is a holiday from reality," he said, adding that it could also have the unintended consequence of encouraging investors to cash in and sell, potentially destabilizing as investors took advantage of a tax break to flee riskier assets.

MORE ON MCCLATCHY

Is the bailout needed? Many economists say 'no'

Re-election fears, payback drove House GOP bailout revolt

Election officials telling college students they can't vote

Just how important are those monologues trashing McCain?

Bookmark McClatchy's politics page

To ask a question about this story or any economic question, go to McClatchy's economy Q&A

McClatchy Newspapers 2008
JOIN THE DISCUSSION

We welcome comments. Please keep them civil, short and to the point. Obscene, profane, abusive and off topic comments will be deleted. Repeat offenders will be blocked. Thanks for taking part — and abiding by these simple rules.

Comments are displayed newest first. If you would like to read a thread from beginning to end, select "Oldest first" from the drop down menu.

ECONOMY IN TURMOIL

economy in turmoil

Read McClatchy coverage of the economic pain Americans around the country are feeling, from Florida to California to Alaska.

ECONOMY QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

 hall & pugh

McClatchy correspondents Kevin G. Hall (left) and Tony Pugh are available to answer your questions about the economic meltdown at home and abroad, and what's in store for ordinary Americans.

Q&A: THE HOUSING CRISIS

Mark Zandi, the chief economist for Moody's Economy.com, is took questions from McClatchy readers about the nation's deep housing crisis. His book, "Financial Shock," offers a 360-degree look at what caused the crisis, what mistakes were made and who made them. It offers a way forward to prevent future crises.

Q&A: TERMINAL CHAOS

U.S. air travel these days is about as fun as a trip to the dentist. Departure delays are rampant, bags often miss the flight you've caught and rising jet fuel prices have major airlines charging to check a bag. In his new book "Terminal Chaos," George Donohue, a professor and former high-level Federal Aviation Administration official, explains why our system of air travel is broken and what can be done to fix it. Read the responses.

Q&A: THE THREE TRILLION DOLLAR WAR

For two weeks, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz and Harvard professor Linda Bilmes, authors of "The Three Trillion Dollar War," fielded questions about the cost of the Iraq war and its impact on the U.S. economy. They're not taking new questions, but they're still posting answers to ones they've already received. Read their responses.