McCain's hope: He must win 5 of 6 states where he trails

McClachy NewspapersOctober 27, 2008 

Barack Obama leads John McCain in six of eight battleground states, but his lead in most is small and McCain is still within reach of an upset, pollster John Zogby reports Monday.

"McCain is well within striking distance in each of the six states in which he trails," Zogby said. "None of Obama's leads are outside the margin of error. However, unless McCain can take one of the big states won by John Kerry in 2004, such as Pennsylvania, he needs to win these six states. He might be able to survive the loss of Nevada, but probably not any of the others."

His polls found Obama leading in:

  • Florida, 47.2 percent to 46.9 percent
  • Missouri, 48.2 percent to 45.7 percent
  • Nevada, 48.2 percent to 44 percent
  • North Carolina, 49.7 percent to 46.4 percent
  • Ohio, 49.7 percent to 45.1 percent
  • Virginia, 52 percent to 44.8 percent

"While his lead over Republican John McCain is less than three points in Florida, Missouri and North Carolina," Zogby said, "These results still point out the daunting task McCain faces to reach the 270 Electoral College votes needed for election."

Zogby's polls found McCain leading in:

  • Indiana, 50.2 percent to 44 percent
  • West Virginia, 50.3 percent to 40.4 percent

The surveys were conducted from Oct. 23-26. Sample sizes in each state ranged from 600-603, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

McClatchy Washington Bureau is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere in the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

Commenting FAQs | Terms of Service