Reality bites Bush's Mideast peace plan

McClatchy NewspapersJanuary 16, 2008 

JERUSALEM — It didn't take long for President Bush's ambitious Middle East peace initiative to collide with a sobering reality.

After setting aside their differences for a few days last week while they welcomed Bush, Israeli and Palestinian leaders have quickly been consumed by developments that threaten to overwhelm Bush's plan.

Six days after Bush personally appealed for his support, conservative Israeli lawmaker Avigdor Lieberman abandoned Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's coalition government on Wednesday.

"All negotiations based on territory for peace are a fateful error, an incomprehensible mistake," Lieberman said Wednesday.

Wednesday also was the second straight day of stepped-up Israeli military operations in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, which began hours after Israeli and Palestinian peace negotiators began their first substantive round of peace talks.

"Talking about having all the problems settled by January 2009 is an illusion," said Zalman Shoval, a former Israeli ambassador to the United States. "I think it was clear before — and it is certainly clear now."

Undeterred, Bush wrapped up his eight-day Middle East mission on Wednesday with a stop in Egypt, where he told President Hosni Mubarak that he'd invest serious political capital in trying to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict this year.

"When I say I'm coming back to stay engaged, I mean it," Bush told reporters after meeting with Mubarak in Sharm el Sheik. "And when I say I'm optimistic we can get a deal done, I mean what I'm saying."

However, Lieberman's defection from the Israeli government and the renewed fighting in Gaza cast a pall over Bush's hopes of securing a peace deal before he leaves office next January.

In two days of raids, firefights and air strikes, the Israeli military killed more than two dozen Palestinians, including the oldest surviving son of Mahmoud Zahar, a leader of the militant Islamic group Hamas, hospital officials in Gaza said.

On Wednesday, an Israeli air strike in Gaza City killed three innocent civilians, including a 14-year-old boy, the Israeli military and Gaza hospital officials said.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas called the Israeli operation a "massacre", and his allies urged him to walk out of peace talks with Olmert. Gaza militants have responded by launching dozens of crude rockets into southern Israel in strikes that lightly injured several people.

In a rare cross-border shooting, a Palestinian sniper killed a young Ecuadorian farmer volunteering on an Israeli kibbutz just outside the Gaza Strip on Tuesday.

While the protracted fighting threatens to undermine Abbas and strengthen Hamas and other militant groups that oppose negotiating with Israel, Lieberman's defection is a blow to Olmert's coalition government, which Bush is counting on to negotiate with the Palestinians.

The departure of Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party cut Olmert's coalition from 78 to 67 members in the 120-seat Knesset.

Lieberman's decision removes the most ardent opponent of concessions to the Palestinians from Olmert's coalition, but it also narrows Olmert's options and gives his political rivals a chance to try to topple his government.

"Being down in the polls and having a weakened coalition will weaken Olmert," said Shmuel Sandler, a senior researcher at Bar-Ilan University's Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies.

Complicating matters for Olmert will be the release, in two week, of the final independent report on Israel's handling of its 2006 34-day war with Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The Winograd Commission is expected to criticize Olmert severely, a conclusion that's certain to hurt the prime minister's already low standing among Israeli voters and fuel new calls for him to step down.

(McClatchy special correspondents Cliff Churgin contributed from Jerusalem and Miret el Naggar from Cairo.)

McClatchy Newspapers 2008

McClatchy Washington Bureau is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere in the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

Commenting FAQs | Terms of Service